Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.179858 0.208958 0.241312 0.279963 0.324901 0.375528 0.436936
2025-03-30 0.130155 0.167598 0.213708 0.274726 0.353465 0.451817 0.584281
2025-04-06 0.104496 0.144432 0.197200 0.272143 0.376094 0.515575 0.717636
2025-04-13 0.088268 0.129235 0.186557 0.272802 0.399695 0.580228 0.857872
2025-04-20 0.079473 0.122319 0.185325 0.285000 0.439380 0.670522 1.045055
2025-04-27 0.071959 0.115804 0.183205 0.294724 0.475574 0.759023 1.240359
2025-05-04 0.065496 0.109771 0.180642 0.302802 0.509408 0.847059 1.445599
2025-05-11 0.058999 0.102650 0.175176 0.305004 0.533261 0.921008 1.636238
2025-05-18 0.052694 0.094928 0.167575 0.302279 0.547837 0.980307 1.808245
2025-05-25 0.046361 0.086282 0.157216 0.293156 0.549519 1.016578 1.942521
2025-06-01 0.043325 0.083193 0.156278 0.300856 0.582561 1.112819 2.200085
2025-06-08 0.039807 0.078733 0.152227 0.302054 0.603168 1.187787 2.425512
2025-06-15 0.037107 0.075603 0.150470 0.307778 0.633926 1.287187 2.715558
2025-06-22 0.033430 0.070081 0.143421 0.302067 0.641001 1.340566 2.918524
2025-06-29 0.030494 0.065705 0.138122 0.299223 0.653501 1.406234 3.155927
2025-07-06 0.028223 0.062449 0.134728 0.299948 0.673605 1.490129 3.444279
2025-07-13 0.027263 0.061917 0.137032 0.313377 0.723340 1.644317 3.912732
2025-07-20 0.026139 0.060876 0.138087 0.324083 0.768156 1.792794 4.387749
2025-07-27 0.024959 0.059559 0.138358 0.332978 0.809794 1.938885 4.876672
2025-08-03 0.023428 0.057229 0.136032 0.335402 0.836164 2.051991 5.299059
2025-08-10 0.021690 0.054193 0.131702 0.332402 0.848772 2.133173 5.651033
2025-08-17 0.019701 0.050303 0.124881 0.322357 0.842336 2.166196 5.881465
2025-08-24 0.018928 0.049398 0.125293 0.330835 0.884830 2.328817 6.481982